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Re-Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Exchange Rate Depreciation on Import Demand in Nigeria

Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
Titre
Re-Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Exchange Rate Depreciation on Import Demand in Nigeria
Résumé
The study investigated the impact of exchange rate depreciation on import demand in Nigeria from 1986 to 2021. The data used was sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria. Ex-post facto research design was adopted in the investigation. Multiple regression analysis was employed, in which Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model as the method of analysis was utilized in the research. The ARDL model evaluates short-run and long-run interactions among the specified variables. The unit root tests conducted using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) revealed that the time series variables used were stationary at level and the first difference, but none of the variables was stationary at the second difference. The ARDL – Bound test analysis revealed the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between exchange rate depreciation and import demand in Nigeria within the period of the study. The coefficient of error correction mechanism was statistically significant and also negatively signed. The results equally found that exchange rate depreciation is statistically not significant and negatively impacted on import demand in Nigeria in the short-run. However, in the long-run, exchange rate depreciation is negatively impacted to import demand and statistically significant. Causal relationship does exist between exchange rate depreciation and import demand in Nigeria with causation running from import demand to exchange rate depreciation. On the basis of the findings, the researcher made the following recommendations among others: Government should consider inward looking to strengthen the imports substitution policies that ensure massive production of goods and services.
Publication
African Journal of Politics and Administrative Studies
Volume
17
Numéro
1
Pages
927-940
Date
2024-06-01
Abrév. de revue
AJPAS
Langue
EN
ISSN
2787-0359
Référence
Atuma, E., Ebuka, B., Nwibo, F., Nkwagu, C., Nancy, U., Njim, R., Ogbonna, N., & Uwaeke, U. (2024). Re-Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Exchange Rate Depreciation on Import Demand in Nigeria. African Journal of Politics and Administrative Studies, 17(1), 927–940. https://doi.org/10.4314/ajpas.v17i1.45